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Trump wins New Hampshire. It’s not the victory he thinks it is

January 24, 2024
in Politics
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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Congratulations, Republicans, you bought your man. Donald Trump has gained the Republican major in New Hampshire. And his victory there may be largely because of the 70% of probably GOP major voters who imagine that Trump will “undoubtedly” beat incumbent President Joe Biden, in accordance with a CBS/YouGov ballot from early this month.  

Such certainty is the product of the right-wing echo chamber. Round this time final yr, non-MAGA Republicans have been expressing skepticism about Trump’s possibilities of being reelected, together with a heavy dose of Trump fatigue. In truth, Republican voters on the time favored Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a head-to-head matchup towards Trump. Principally, Republican voters wished to discipline a candidate who might win the final election and, as a lot as they nonetheless favored Trump, they thought he had an excessive amount of baggage.

However that was earlier than DeSantis introduced his candidacy and voters really received an excellent have a look at him. Regardless of his huge conflict chest, DeSantis was nothing wanting a tragic campaigner.

Within the meantime, right-wing media painted a caricature of President Biden that instructed even the hapless Charlie Brown might clear his clock. And if that have been true, why go for an exceedingly whiny Trump-lite candidate when you possibly can have the true factor? Now, one yr later, Republican voters, donning the blinders supplied to them by the right-wing disinformation machine, imagine Trump’s a shoe-in towards Biden within the normal election.

Taking a look at high-quality nationwide head-to-head polls performed in January, we see that Trump holds a constant lead over Biden. Nevertheless, on nearer inspection, Trump’s lead may be very slender. Whereas he might lead most polls, he leads by little greater than 1 or 2 share factors in lots of instances. And at this level, such polls characterize little greater than a partisan ink-blot take a look at since many People are solely now waking as much as the truth that this yr’s election will certainly be a Biden-Trump rematch.

In reality, Trump has probably benefited from not being part of many individuals’s every day lives. Exterior of the white noise of Trump’s authorized battles, voters have largely not tuned in sufficient but to be privy his rally rants, his growing cognitive challenges, and his social media meltdowns.

However that grace interval is now ending. Staff Biden is already feasting on Trump’s barrage of embarrassing—to not point out deeply worrisome—statements. On Tuesday, Biden’s rapid-response workforce circulated a nonsensical Trump quote wherein he informed rally attendees Monday, “We’re an institute in a robust demise penalty.”

Subtweeting the quote, Staff Biden quipped, “Yeah, we do not know what he is saying both.”

On Monday, the account circulated video of Trump in 2020 promising a “inventory market collapse” if Biden grew to become president, splicing the footage along with Fox Information’ protection of the inventory market’s record-high shut earlier this week.

x

Left: Trump in 2020 saying the inventory market will collapse if President Biden wins

Proper: The Dow and S&P 500 hitting all-time report highs in the present day pic.twitter.com/UgcFRnCeRJ

— Biden-Harris HQ (@BidenHQ) January 22, 2024

Whereas none of this may pierce the MAGA bubble, it does stand an opportunity of reaching each reality-based Republicans (who’ve usually supported former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley within the primaries) and independents who will likely be pressured to solid a poll for what they think about to be the lesser of two evils.

The November election won’t be a recognition contest; relatively, it will likely be a race outlined by which candidate a majority of voters most concern being in control of the nation. And reality-based People will now be force-fed a every day weight loss program of utterances from a person who’s arguably probably the most harmful presidential candidate the nation has seen because the nation’s founding.  

Democrats would a lot relatively not roll the cube on democracy as soon as once more, however right here we’re. Republican voters have landed us right here, largely as a result of they’re delusional sufficient to imagine Trump’s a slam dunk within the normal election.

They received their man. Now they’re caught with him because the Biden marketing campaign will get to work.

Marketing campaign Motion



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