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Business Content material. 21+. Motion Community is the official betting accomplice of the New York Publish, which edits this content material.
The NASCAR Cup Collection is heading to Richmond Raceway for a Virginia showdown on Easter Sunday.
It’ll be the primary night time race of the season, starting at 7 p.m. ET on FOX.
The Toyota drivers have been the star of the present in 2024, however Chevy driver William Byron captured his second victory of the season final week at COTA. Byron grew to become the primary repeat winner in 2024.
Richmond is a 0.75-mile brief observe with excessive tire put on.
It received’t be as excessive as this 12 months’s Bristol race, however managing your tires is essential to scoring an excellent end.
I’ve bought my eye on a couple of of NASCAR’s prime drivers in my favourite prop bets for the week.
Toyota House owners 400 Prop Bets
Driver matchup: Austin Dillon over Josh Berry (+115, BetMGM)
My matchup guess for Richmond options two drivers that’ll doubtless run mid-pack. Dillon and Berry have a mixed one top-15 end this season. The percentages have Berry as a large favourite, however Dillon has a powerful observe historical past at Richmond.
Over his final 11 begins on the observe, he has six top-10 finishes. He’s solely completed exterior the highest 20 twice in that span. Berry completed second in his lone Cup Collection begin at Richmond, however that’s deceptive.
Berry had a mean operating place of twentieth however caught a late warning to cycle to the entrance. The velocity rankings had Dillon and Berry proper round twentieth.
A top-15 end must be sufficient to win this matchup. It’s been a tough begin for Dillon, however Richmond presents a bounce-back alternative.
Brad Keselowski to win Group B (+275, bet365)
Keselowski matches up in opposition to a trio of Chevy’s for a gaggle winner guess at bet365.
He faces former Richmond winners Kyle Larson and Kyle Busch, in addition to Byron.
Keselowski has proven loads of velocity at Richmond and brief flat tracks within the Subsequent-Gen automotive.
Should you take out final 12 months’s Gateway race, his velocity rating is eleventh or higher in each brief flat observe race for the reason that starting of 2023.
Larson and Byron have been sturdy at Richmond, however they’re inconsistent. Busch as soon as owned Richmond Raceway however solely has one end higher than eighth in his final six begins.
Keselowki’s teammate, Chris Buescher, received final 12 months’s Summer season race at Richmond. The Fords have been quick on the observe, and Keselowski ought to have sufficient velocity to defeat three Chevy drivers.
Prime Chevy automotive: William Byron (+310, Caesars)
The Chevy vehicles will doubtless be behind the eight ball at Richmond Raceway.
They haven’t proven the identical velocity because the Fords or Toyotas, however Byron is somebody I belief.
I discussed Byron has been inconsistent at Richmond.
Whereas that’s true, he’s confirmed he can run up entrance and compete for the win. He led 115-plus laps within the final two Spring races at Richmond.
Larson and Busch are his greatest rivals from an odds perspective.
Larson received final 12 months’s Spring race, however his general velocity at Richmond has been worse than Byron’s.
This 12 months’s Phoenix race is the closest comparability to Richmond, and Byron was the one Chevy driver with top-10 velocity. He ought to lead the Chevy brigade for the second straight week.
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Profitable manufacture: Toyota (-120, DraftKings)
It’s not typically that you simply see a producer with odds shorter than +100, however Toyota is the overwhelming favourite at Richmond.
I’m prepared to take the juice and guess on Toyota profitable this weekend’s race.
Joe Gibbs Racing has all 4 drivers on the prime of the board. Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. are previous Richmond winners, whereas Christopher Bell and Ty Gibbs have been aggressive on the observe.
I discussed Phoenix being the most important comparability to Richmond.
Toyota dominated that race, main 298 of the 312 laps. The 4 JGR drivers and Tyler Reddick every led 50-plus laps.
We might see one other banner day from the Toyota camp, with at the very least two or three drivers in competition for the win.
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