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Donald Trump’s running mate: The four most likely candidates

January 18, 2024
in USA
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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After Donald Trump cemented his place because the front-runner within the GOP major along with his clear win within the Iowa caucus, questions quickly turned to whom the previous president might choose as his 2024 operating mate.

Trump has given no actual indication, past providing small heaps of reward to sure folks and ruling out any likelihood he would choose Mike Pence once more after the pair’s relationship fell aside within the wake of the January 6, 2021, riot on the U.S. Capitol.

There have been solutions that Trump would possibly select a feminine operating mate to broaden the Republican ticket’s enchantment in 2024.

Within the wake of the Iowa caucuses, betting web site Oddschecker listed what they imagine are the almost definitely names within the operating to be Trump’s alternative of VP in 2024.

Kristi Noem in South Dakota
South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem speaks on the Monument Leaders Rally hosted by the South Dakota Republican Occasion earlier than introducing former President Donald Trump on September 8, 2023, in Speedy Metropolis, South Dakota. Noem is taken into account a prime choose for Trump’s subsequent operating mate.
Scott Olson/Getty Photos

Under, Newsweek takes a have a look at the almost definitely names, in accordance with Oddschecker, in addition to talk about the chance of Trump selecting them as his subsequent operating mate. Trump’s workplace has been contacted for remark through electronic mail.

Kristi Noem

The South Dakota governor has lengthy been thought of one of many prime candidates to be Trump’s choose.

In line with the most recent odds, Noem has a +375 (15/4) likelihood of turning into Trump’s subsequent operating, with an implied chance of 21 p.c.

Noem regularly praises Trump on social media, and not too long ago hosted a marketing campaign rally for him in neighboring Iowa.

“She’s clearly positioned herself as a nationwide determine in Republican circles and one who’s a Trump loyalist as well,” Jon Schaff, a political science professor at Northern State College in Aberdeen, South Dakota, informed the South Dakota Information Watch.

“Given Trump’s historical past, the variety of Republicans he can moderately select from is a little bit decrease than regular as a result of he is alienated or brazenly criticized many Republican officeholders. I’d be shocked if Noem wasn’t among the many two or three finalists. From there, it is a bit of a crap shoot.”

Nevertheless, December polling for Newsweek performed by Redfield and Wilton Methods means that Noem doesn’t have the help or identify recognition amongst Trump supporters, with solely 3 p.c saying she was their most well-liked alternative for his operating mate.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Following Monday’s Iowa caucuses, the place Trump gained with greater than 50 p.c of the vote, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy dropped out of the race and instantly endorsed the previous president. Ramaswamy has lengthy confronted hypothesis that his White Home bid was extra him vying to be Trump’s potential vp in 2024, moderately than a severe run for workplace.

In line with Oddschecker, Ramaswamy’s probabilities of turning into Trump’s subsequent operating mate surged after the Iowa caucuses, rising from +740 (37/5), or an 11.9 p.c chance to +650 (13/2), and now has a 13.3 p.c implied chance.

Nevertheless, Trump attacked Ramaswamy in a Fact Social submit on January 13 as being “not MAGA” and accused his marketing campaign of being “deceitful.”

Previous to the Iowa caucuses, prime Trump adviser Jason Miller additionally poured chilly water on solutions that Ramaswamy might be Trump’s operating mate, not too long ago telling the New York Put up: “Fairly protected to say it will not be Vivek.”

Elise Stefanik

The New York congresswoman has, together with Noem, lengthy been touted as a powerful feminine alternative for Trump’s operating mate due to her fierce loyalty to the previous president, with Trump additionally ceaselessly praising her.

Oddschecker at present has her +700 (7/1) to be Trump’s subsequent operating mate however recommended that she really has “higher odds of turning into vp over Ramaswamy, regardless of what oddsmakers are at present predicting.”

A latest NBC report mentioned Stefanik is on the listing of candidates whom Trump desires as his subsequent VP.

“If you happen to’re Trump, you need somebody who’s loyal above all else,” a Republican marketing campaign operative mentioned. “Notably as a result of he sees Mike Pence as having made a deadly sin.”

Ben Carson

Carson, whom Trump nominated as secretary of housing and concrete improvement in 2017, is available in as fourth in Oddschecker’s listing.

In addition to a possible feminine operating mate, there has additionally been speak of Trump selecting an individual of shade to broaden his enchantment in 2024, with Carson’s identify being touted late final 12 months.

Nevertheless, the solutions gave the impression to be extra wild hypothesis, moderately than any actual indication from Trump.

Oddschecker is providing odds of +800 (8/1) on Carson being named Trump’s subsequent operating mate.

Unusual Information

Newsweek is dedicated to difficult typical knowledge and discovering connections within the seek for frequent floor.

Newsweek is dedicated to difficult typical knowledge and discovering connections within the seek for frequent floor.

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Tags: 2024 ElectioncandidatesDonaldDonald TrumpGOPKristi NoemmaterunningRunning mateTrumpsVice-PresidentVivek Ramaswamy
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